Post archive for ‘Company Reports’
Cytokinetics: Current Investment Thesis Is All About Omecamtiv Mecarbil (CYTK. $13.26, Buy)
Investment Thesis is Almost Exclusively Driven by Prospects for Omecamtiv Mecarbil Omecamtiv Mecarbil is a Potential Mega- Blockbuster Omecamtiv mecarbil is one of the most exciting drugs in development in all of biopharma and is the primary driver of my investment thesis on Cytokinetics. If successful in the ongoing, phase 3 GALACTIC-HF trial, I believe […]
Cryoport: Quick Take on 2Q Results (CYRX, $20.18, Buy)
Cryoport reported a very strong quarter as sales increased by 83%. The key biopharma segment increased sales by 81%. This was led by a 326% increase in sales stemming from support of the commercial CAR-T products, Kymriah and Yescarta. Some $600,000 of incremental sales were recorded from the acquisition of Cryogene which closed on May […]
Portola: Andexxa Looks to be a Blockbuster (PTLA, $30.00, Buy)
Overview The investment story for Portola is virtually 100% based on the sales ramp for Andexxa. Skepticism and/ or uncertainty have been running high because new drug product launches in general are slow and disappointing and this is particularly true for hospital products like Andexxa. I have been taken aback at the poor stock performance. […]
Antares: Highlights from 2Q, 2019 Conference Call (ATRS, $3.29, Buy)
Introduction I have heard encouraging comments on my recently announced approach of doing shorter, less pedantic reports on new companies. This is so much so that I am extending this approach to companies that I have actively covered for some time and in this case Antares Pharma. For a Martian with no knowledge of Antares, […]
New Approach to SmithOnStocks Reports Starts with Aimmune Therapeutics (AIMT, $18.73)
My coverage strategy has been to identify stocks that I believed to be buys and initiate coverage with an in-depth report to be followed by updates. This is the classic Wall Street approach that was drilled into my psyche for nearly 35 years. The downside is that it takes a long time to research a […]
Antares Pharma: The Xyosted Launch Continues to Look Good (ATRS, Buy, $3.37)
Investment Thesis The cornerstone of my positive investment thesis for Antares is Xyosted, which was fully launched in January 2019. While it is early, I believe that the prescription trends seen over the last six months strongly indicate that the launch will be a success. In this report, I explain the methodology, I used to […]
Cryoport: I View the Just Completed Equity Offering as a Major Positive (CYRX, Buy, $18.00)
Overview of Equity Offering Cryoport quickly and very successfully executed an equity offering after the close on June 19, 2019. It sold 3,750,000 shares at a price to investors of $17.00 per share. This was at a discount of about 9% from the closing price of $18.62. After underwriting discounts, Cryoport received $59.80 million which […]
Antares Pharma: Detailed Sales and Earnings Model Through 2021 (ATRS, $2.85, Buy)
Investment Thesis Recently, I have received a couple of sarcastic comments to the effect that this stock has gone nowhere for the last five or so years and you have consistently recommended it. Why don’t you just admit were wrong and move on. I share the frustration. I buy stocks that I recommend and hold […]
Antares Pharma: The Xyosted Launch Looks Like it will Meet or Beat Wall Street Expectations for 2019 (ATRS, Buy, $2.90)
Investment Thesis The cornerstone of my positive investment thesis for Antares is Xyosted, which was fully launched in January 2019. While it is very early, I believe that the prescription trends seen over the last four plus months strongly indicate that the launch will be a success. Xyosted is Antares’ second wholly owned and marketed […]
Northwest Biotherapeutics: Takeaways from Marnix Bosch’s Presentation at ASCO (NWBO, Buy, $0.27)
Overview Marnix Bosch, Chief Technical Officer of Northwest Biotherapeutics, discussed three broad topics at ASCO on Sunday June 2, 2019. Factors that will determine when we might see the all-important topline data from the phase 3 trial of DCVax-L in newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). The hypothesized mode of action of DCVax Direct and plans […]