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Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Post archive for ‘Company Reports’

Antares: Xyosted is Approved; Let the Good Times Roll (ATRS, Buy, $3.77)

Investment Thesis At Last, Three Major Product Approvals in 2018 It has been a torturous wait for Antares’ very promising pipeline to advance to commercialization, but the time has finally come. Antares and its partner Teva received approval for an AB rated generic to EpiPen on August 16, 2018 and Antares and its partner AMAG […]

Regenerative Medicine: Thoughts on How to Invest in This Dynamic New Technology

Key Investment Points of this Report Regenerative medicines promises to be a (the) major technology driving the biopharma industry in coming decades. The CAR-T products are the first commercially significant products stemming from this technology, but they are just the tip of a very large iceberg. Novartis, Gilead and Celgene have gained first mover status […]

Portola: Reiteration of Buy Recommendation (PTLA, Buy, S27.46)

Introduction This is the latest in a series of updates on Portola and is prompted by information presented in the second quarter conference call. If this is your first encounter with the Company and you would like greater detail on the company’s technology, its products and clinical trial data, you may want to read my […]

Antares: Investment Story has Shifted from Pipeline Promise to Commercial Potential (ATRS, $3.74, Buy)

Investment Summary At long last, the exciting new product potential of Antares is becoming a commercial reality. A very significant milestone for Antares was the approval gained by its distribution partner Teva in 2Q, 2016 for an AB rated generic to Imitrex (sumatriptan). This was the first of four AB rated generics that are known […]

AMAG Pharmaceuticals: Trying to Project 2019 Sales for the Makena Franchise (AMAG, $24.45, Buy)

Investment Thesis The investment outlook for AMAG in 2019 is primarily about Makena and this report focuses almost entirely on how much of the franchise can be maintained by the new auto-injector dosage form in the face of generic competition to the older intramuscular formulations. The Wall Street consensus 2019 sales estimate of around $200 […]

Cryoport: Reiterating My Buy Recommendation (CYRX, Buy, $14.20)

Investment Perspective On May 16, 2018, I published a report entitled Updated Sales and Earnings Model. The purpose of that report was to build a detailed sales model for the Company that for the first time incorporated Cryoport revenues arising from the sale of commercial products-the CAR-T drugs Kymriah and Yescarta. You may want to […]

Cytokinetics: Update based on 2Q, 2018 Conference Call (CYTK, Buy, $6.85)

Investment Thesis Omecamtiv is the Essence of the Investment Thesis I continue to believe that Cytokinetics is an attractive investment based on the potential for omecamtiv mecarbil, which promises to bring an important new mechanism of action to the treatment of congestive heart failure. If the ongoing phase 3, GALACIC-HF trial (a massive 8,000 patient […]

Portola: Update and Reiteration of Buy Recommendation (PTLA, Buy, $39.31)

Investment Thesis in Brief This report is based on presentations by management at recent brokerage conferences. It is an update and not a comprehensive analysis of Portola. For more detailed analysis, you may want to refer to a series of reports on my website. I am reiterating my Buy recommendation on Portola. I have a […]

AMAG Pharmaceuticals: Strong Launch of Subcu Makena and Pending Sale of Cord Blood Registry is Encouraging (AMAG, $23.55, Buy)

Investment Thesis My April 13, 2018 report AMAG: Upgrading to Buy Based on an In-Depth Analysis of the Outlook for Makena Over the 2018 to 2020 Period (AMAG, Buy, $21.10) was based primarily on the belief that Makena sales could dramatically beat Wall Street analysts’ consensus expectations. Please refer to that report for my detailed […]

Northwest Biotherapeutics: There could be Overwhelming Patient Demand for DCVax-L due to the Right to Try law (NWBO, $0.24, Buy)

Investment Thesis in Brief I believe that it is now a matter of when rather than if DCVax-L is approved and becomes an integral part of standard of care (SOC) for newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme. I estimate that the worldwide addressable market is $5.5 billion and I would expect DCVax-L to penetrate a very significant […]