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Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Post archive for ‘Company Reports’

Neuralstem: An Update on Its Pipeline and Supporting Clinical Trials (CUR, Neutral, $1.00)

Purpose of this Report Neuralstem has been silent for nearly three months on when the critical phase 2b trial of its NSI-566 neural stem cells in ALS might begin and on providing details of the trial design. This silence may about to be broken as the Company has just announced that it will be presenting […]

Chimerix: Upgrading the Stock to a Buy (CMRX. Buy, $6.10)

Definitions of Key Words This section defines a number of words, phrases and acronyms that I have used in this report that may be useful for investors who may not have already done extensive research on Chimerix. virus: A virus is a small, non- bacterial, infectious agent that replicates only inside the living cells of […]

Antares: Undeterred by the Poor Stock Performance I Continue to Pound the Table (ATRS. Buy, $1.30)

Upcoming Catalysts This is a detailed note updating my thinking on Antares and discussing how I come up with my 2017 price target range of $3.25 to $10.00; the latter is based on Antares being acquired (probably by Teva). Additionally, I wanted to make you aware of three catalysts that could bolster investors’ confidence. There […]

Derma Sciences: Close to Upgrading (DSCI, $4.54)

Investment Perspective With the failure of its biotechnology drug candidate aclerastide, Derma Sciences is abandoning drug development efforts. The Company has also signaled that it will slowly be phasing out of its Traditional Would Care (TWC) business which is based on commodity products including compression products, adhesive strips, impregnated dressings, wound closure and gauze. It […]

Cytokinetics: An Update on Potential (Highly Probable) Phase 3 Trial of Omecamtiv Mecarbil in Heart Failure (CYTK, Buy, $11.29)

Purpose of this Report I listened carefully to CEO Robert Blum speaking at the Piper Jaffrey conference on December 1. This note is based on his comments on the probable (almost certain) upcoming phase 3 trial of omecamtiv mecarbil. I have built on his remarks to try to put this in an investment perspective. Will […]

Repligen: A Detailed Update; Recent Price Drop Makes Me More Positive (RGEN, Buy, $28.50

Repligen’s Outstanding Business Model Repligen (RGEN) has gone through a metamorphosis that has dramatically changed its business model and investment outlook. For many years, it was a small biotechnology company focused on drug development but it was also quietly building a high quality bioprocessing business that provides consumable products used in the manufacturing of biological […]

Discovery Laboratories: Results for Aerosurf in Phase 2a Trial are Encouraging; Why Then Did the Stock Crash? (DSCO, Buy, $0.30)

Introduction This report discusses the results of Discovery Laboratory’s first in human, phase 2a trial of Aerosurf. In writing this report, I am assuming that the reader has an in-depth understanding of Aerosurf and its disease target. If you are new to the Company, I would strongly urge you to read my in-depth article of […]

Cytokinetics: I Predict Amgen Will Proceed to Phase 3 Trials with Omecamtiv Mecarbil (CYTK, Buy, $10.82)

Investment Thesis I continue with my long standing buy recommendation on the stock. I think a Buy at this level is justified by the prospects for omecamtiv mecarbil alone even if tirasemtiv were to fail in its phase 3 trial in ALS and CK-107 is not progressed in spinal muscular atrophy. Of course, I think […]

ZS Pharma: Astra Zeneca to Acquire ZS Pharma at $90 per Share-DARN (ZSPH, $90)

On Friday, November 9, 2015 Astra Zeneca entered into a definitive agreement to buy ZS Pharma in an all-cash tender offer for all outstanding shares of ZS Pharma common stock at a price of $90 per share. This values the Company at $2.7 billion or $2.5 billion if you subtract out $200 million of cash […]

Antares: An Update on My Investment Thinking (ATRS, Buy, $1.33)

Investment Thesis This has been a very disappointing year for Antares investors; the stock closed at $2.57 on December 31, 2014 and as of the close on November 5, 2015 has been nearly cut in half to $1.33. The current market capitalization is $200 million. The three key issues dominating the price in 2014 and […]