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Cytokinetics: Reiteration of My Long Standing Buy Recommendation Based on an Extraordinary Pipeline (CYTK, $12.90, Buy)

Investment Overview and Thesis Investment Overview Cytokinetics reported 2Q, 2017 sales and earnings results on Wednesday, August 2 but this was relatively unimportant. The stock price is driven by investors’ assessments on clinical progress of three late stage pipeline products: omecamtiv mecarbil (for congestive heart failure) and tirasemtiv (for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis or ALS) are […]

SmithOnStocks Top Stock Picks for 2017, January 3, 2017

Purpose of this Report I last summarized my stock recommendations in a September 12, 2016 report. There has been little change in my thinking or my recommendations since then on most stocks in my universe, but I did issue a Buy on Bristol-Myers Squibb and a sell on Juno Therapeutics. You may want to revisit […]

Northwest Biotherapeutics: Going Over My Thoughts (NWBO, $0.62)

Overview The naming of five distinguished scientists with extensive knowledge and expertise in immune-oncology to Northwest’s scientific advisory board is the first of what I hope will be a number of steps that Northwest will take to fight back against a massive short selling attack on the Company. This has destroyed the stock price and […]

Relypsa: New Buy Recommendation on Relypsa (RLYP, Buy, $14.98)

Investment Thinking in Brief I am beginning coverage of Relypsa (RLYP) with a Buy recommendation. At this point in time, the stock is facing two major uncertainties. The launch of its first drug Veltassa (patiromer) began in December, 2015 so that the Company is fighting through all types of reimbursement and formulary access hurdles with managed […]

Northwest Biotherapeutics (NWBO): Some Thoughts about the Appointment of Two New Board Members

Purpose of the Report Northwest Biotherapeutics announced on January 25 that it is adding two new members to its current five member Board of Directors with the appointment of Ms. Susan Bayh and Mr. Cofer Black as independent Directors.  Neither Ms. Bayh nor Mr. Black has had dealings with or worked with the Company previously. […]

My Current Thoughts on 13 Stocks I Cover and the Investment Outlook for the Market

Purpose of This Report This report is being written at a time of panic in the market in which a sharp drop in the stock market indices has set off a much steeper plunge in the stock prices of emerging biotechnology companies which are the focus of SmithOnStocks. In this volatile and depressing environment, there […]

KaloBios: The Fascinating Story of the Takeover of the Company by Martin Shkreli and His Hedge Fund Buddies (KBIO, $18.25, I would not touch this stock)

Investment Thesis and Overview KaloBios (KBIO) announced on November 13 that it was ceasing operations and had engaged a restructuring firm to help liquidate its assets. Management said they were unable to find a strategic partner interested in licensing or acquiring its technology and the Company had only around $5 million of cash. The stock […]

Discovery Laboratories: Results for Aerosurf in Phase 2a Trial are Encouraging; Why Then Did the Stock Crash? (DSCO, Buy, $0.30)

Introduction This report discusses the results of Discovery Laboratory’s first in human, phase 2a trial of Aerosurf. In writing this report, I am assuming that the reader has an in-depth understanding of Aerosurf and its disease target. If you are new to the Company, I would strongly urge you to read my in-depth article of […]

Northwest: Analysis of a Coordinated Short Selling Attack Against the Stock (NWBO, $4.69)

A Suspect Plunge in Price On Friday October 16, 2015 a day in which the Dow Jones and S&P averages increased 0.4% and 0.5% and the Biotechnology Index was flat, Northwest Biotherapeutics’ stock plummeted 30%. The stock opened at $5.97, traded up to $6.06, then crashed to an intraday low of $3.82 and closed at […]

Neuralstem: Initial Thoughts on Just Released Encouraging Phase 2 Data on the Use of NSI-566 Stem Cells to Treat ALS. Neuralstem Will Proceed to a Potentially Registrational Trial in 2016 (CUR, Buy, $1.50)

Introduction Neuralstem released this morning (September 29) new information from principal investigator Eva Feldman on phase 2 data from the use of NSI-566 stem cells in the treatment of ALS. She also discussed combined results with data from the phase 1 trial. I have included verbatim the information in the press release that discussed the […]