Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Key Points: NWBO is approaching unblinding of the critical phase 3 trial of DCVax-L in newly diagnosed glioblastoma (GBM). Management let the trial run longer in order to determine if there is a survival tail. This should prove critical to potential regulatory approval and commercialization. A meaningful survival tail has been key to the huge […]

Overview The investment story for Portola is virtually 100% based on the sales ramp for Andexxa. Skepticism and/ or uncertainty have been running high because new drug product launches in general are slow and disappointing and this is particularly true for hospital products like Andexxa. I have been taken aback at the poor stock performance. […]

Overview Marnix Bosch, Chief Technical Officer of Northwest Biotherapeutics, discussed three broad topics at ASCO on Sunday June 2, 2019. Factors that will determine when we might see the all-important topline data from the phase 3 trial of DCVax-L in newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). The hypothesized mode of action of DCVax Direct and plans […]

Key Points Agenus is the first biotechnology company to use a new and innovative blockchain based technology for financing development of a specific product. This new technology could break the lock on financing of biotechnology firms now held by investment banking firms in the same way that Amazon has devastated most sectors of retailing.   […]

Key Points: Monetization of a UK manufacturing facility has brought in roughly $46 million of non-dilutive cash. I estimate that payment of debt obligations over the next two years will require about $10 million leaving $36 million to fund operations. At the recent quarterly burn rate of $5 million, NWBO can fund operations through mid-2020. […]

Investment Thesis in Brief This report is based on presentations by management at recent brokerage conferences. It is an update and not a comprehensive analysis of Portola. For more detailed analysis, you may want to refer to a series of reports on my website. I am reiterating my Buy recommendation on Portola. I have a […]

Investment Thesis in Brief I believe that it is now a matter of when rather than if DCVax-L is approved and becomes an integral part of standard of care (SOC) for newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme. I estimate that the worldwide addressable market is $5.5 billion and I would expect DCVax-L to penetrate a very significant […]

Investment Perspective Last week, a manuscript was published in a peer reviewed journal that dealt with blinded results of the phase 3 trial of DCVax-L that is investigating its use in newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme, the most deadly form of brain cancer. . The article was co-authored by 69 leading oncologists who participated in the […]

Reason for this Note I was prompted to write this note after listening to a July 2017, You Tube segment in which Dr. Keyoumers Ashkan spoke about his belief that DCVax-L could be a major advance in the treatment of brain tumors. Here is the link to this approximately 13 minute video. His comments on DCVax-L […]

Investment Thesis By my analysis, Cryoport and its stock are coiled like a spring for future strong performance. My model is projecting over 50% per annum sales growth for the period 2017 to 2020 with sales estimated to increase from $12.1 million in 2017 to $41.8 million in 2020. The revenue mix is now shifting […]