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Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Post archive for ‘Smith On Stocks Blog’

SmithOnStocks Investment Recommendations Summarized; September 12, 2016

PURPOSE OF REPORT Biotechnology investing is characterized by long periods of steady, sometimes frightening declines followed by periods of euphoria. We have been in a deep bear market for emerging biotechnology stocks for over a year that has taken a heavy toll on stock prices. It looks like this may be starting to turn as […]

Bristol-Myers Squibb: Checkmate-026 Trial Fails to Reach Primary Endpoint (BMY, $62.85); A Buying Opportunity

Perspective Bristol-Myers Squibb Company announced today that Opdivo had failed to reach its primary endpoint of progression free survival in the CheckMate -026 trial in first line non-small cell lung cancer. This was an open-label, study that randomized 541 patients to receive either Opdivo as monotherapy or investigator’s choice of chemotherapy. Patients enrolled in the […]

A Non-Consensus, More Balanced Look at the CAR-T Development Efforts of Kite and Juno (Kite, $48.53: Juno, $30.42)

Definition of Key Terms Used in This Report Engineered Autologous T-cells (eACTS): These are T-cells that are removed from a patient and genetically engineered to increase their activity against cancer cells. They are then expanded into billions of clones that are reinfused into the patient where they continue to differentiate and attack cancer targets. Chimeric […]

Relypsa: Company Releases Veltassa Launch Metrics for May (RLYP, $18.14, Buy)

Investment Thesis Veltassa continues its slow but steady launch. The May results were in line with my projections and I think they were also generally in line with those of the Street. In the first year of a launch the new reality is that managed care sets up significant reimbursement hurdles. We are seeing this […]

Updates on My Investment Opinion for 15 Stocks I Follow Closely

Report Overview This blog gives a quick update on my thinking on the 15 stocks which I cover. In most cases, it just offer my opinion with a few supporting thoughts and provides a link to more extensive articles. Also, the reports section of my website has other in-depth reports that you may want to […]

Northwest Biotherapeutics (NWBO): Some Thoughts about the Appointment of Two New Board Members

Purpose of the Report Northwest Biotherapeutics announced on January 25 that it is adding two new members to its current five member Board of Directors with the appointment of Ms. Susan Bayh and Mr. Cofer Black as independent Directors.  Neither Ms. Bayh nor Mr. Black has had dealings with or worked with the Company previously. […]

My Current Thoughts on 13 Stocks I Cover and the Investment Outlook for the Market

Purpose of This Report This report is being written at a time of panic in the market in which a sharp drop in the stock market indices has set off a much steeper plunge in the stock prices of emerging biotechnology companies which are the focus of SmithOnStocks. In this volatile and depressing environment, there […]

Martin Shkreli Arrested; This Could Be A Major Catalyst for Small Biotechnology Stocks

Bloomberg reported that Martin Shkreli was arrested at his home this morning (December 17) on charges of securities fraud; his lawyer was also arrested. I recently wrote that Shkreli and his colleagues appeared to blatantly manipulate the stock price of KaloBios. See my article KaloBios: The Fascinating Story of the Takeover of the Company by Martin […]

Why Biotechnology Investing is So Difficult: Cytokinetics is a Case Study (free article)

Overview I just finished publishing a detailed article for subscribers to my website detailing my view that Cytokinetics offers asymmetric upside potential. I thought that non-subscribers might be interested in a part of that article that went through the trials and tribulations of my long standing buy (two and one half years) on the stock. It […]

KaloBios: The Fascinating Story of the Takeover of the Company by Martin Shkreli and His Hedge Fund Buddies (KBIO, $18.25, I would not touch this stock)

Investment Thesis and Overview KaloBios (KBIO) announced on November 13 that it was ceasing operations and had engaged a restructuring firm to help liquidate its assets. Management said they were unable to find a strategic partner interested in licensing or acquiring its technology and the Company had only around $5 million of cash. The stock […]