Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

I recently wrote a report on Antares entitled Makena has the Potential to Make a Very Significant Contribution to EPS  that highlighted the potentially  significant impact on Antares’ earnings of the subcutaneous formulation of Makena being developed jointly by Antares and AMAG Pharmaceuticals. In a press release summarizing 1Q, 2016 results, AMAG issued some very positive […]

Investment Thesis in Brief I continue to recommend Agenus for its impressive technology platforms in immuno-oncology. It is difficult to assign a price target because of the early stage of its pipeline. A principal driving force behind my recommendation is that many large biotechnology and pharmaceutical firms are far behind in the checkpoint modulator and […]

Investment Thesis in Brief If you like numbers, you will like this report. It is a very detailed analysis of the contribution to Antares sales and profits of 7 new products that will drive growth in coming years. As summarized in the following table, I am looking for Antares to roughly breakeven in 2017 and […]

Investment Perspective Investors are closely watching the launch progress of Veltassa following its December 2015 introduction. Medicare and managed care have set up barriers to prescribing that makes getting a prescription filled for a new drug laborious and time consuming and sometimes futile. With very few exceptions, most new product launches have disappointed investors to […]

Investment Thesis in Brief I am recommending purchase of Chimerix at the current price. The failure of brincidofovir in the phase 3 SUPPRESS trial for prevention of cytomegalovirus infections in hematopoietic stem cell patients has caused investors to write off the company and has resulted in a depressed stock price. To illustrate, I estimate that […]

Investment Thesis Investment Overview The launch of Otrexup has been extremely disappointing in contrast to my high expectations. Medac launched a competitive product Rasuvo shortly after Otrexup. It was my expectation that Medac would focus on educating physicians and expanding the market to the benefit of both products. In my experience, this has been the […]

Reason for Report Relypsa shares surged from about $15.00 at 1 PM on Thursday April 7 to close at $24.34. This move was based on a report published by Reuters at 12:54 PM. What the Reuters News Article Said “Relypsa Inc., a U.S. maker of treatments for blood disorder hyperkalemia, is exploring a sale following […]

Investment Overview The Stock Market Has Written off Aerosurf The current stock market valuation for Discovery Laboratories of $13 million (8 million shares times $1.60) assigns virtually zero probability for Aerosurf being successfully developed and commercialized. Stocks selling at such a micro-cap market valuation are usually dismissed out of hand by investors as there is […]

Purpose of This Report I have written frequently about omecamtiv mecarbil, Cytokinetics’ extremely promising new drug for congestive heart failure (CHF). I believe that it has the potential to be a therapeutic breakthrough for CHF which can significantly reduce mortality and morbidity. I see it as an add-on therapy to current standard of care drugs […]

Perspective and Overview on this Report The still unexplained and unresolved halt in screening for the phase 3 trial of DCVax-L in newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme has been a nightmare for the Company and its investors. It seems that almost everything has ground to a halt in the last six months as Northwest awaits guidance […]