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Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Post archive for ‘LinkedIn’

Portola: Reiterating Buy and Refuting Recent Negative Blog by Adam F-stein (PTLA, Buy, $54.12)

Introduction Adam F-stein wrote an article on Portola on September 19, 2017 with the headline “Commercial launch of Portola’s new blood thinner could be threatened by new clinical guidelines”. This caused a 9% drop from the closing price of $56.57 of the prior day to $52.02 at the close on September 19. The analysis in […]

Northwest Biotherapeutics: Thoughts on Why the Phase 3 Trial of DCVax-L is Ongoing (NWBO, BUY, $0.17)

Overview The phase 3 trial of DCVax-L in newly diagnosed glioblastoma is continuing even though it has passed the 248 PFS events (mPFS is a primary endpoint) and has probably surpassed 233 OS events (mOS is an independent co-primary endpoint). Reaching either or both of these events is not an automatic stopping point for the […]

Northwest Biotherapeutics, Bristol-Myers Squibb: Success for the Yervoy-Opdivo Combination in CHECKMATE-214 Trial Obviously is a Major Positive for BMY, but also has Important Implications for NWBO (NWBO, Buy, $0.19) (BMY, $60.80, Buy)

The stoppage at an interim analysis of Bristol-Myers Squibb’s’ CHECKMATE-214 trial provides meaningful information into assessing the potential fro success of Northwest Biotherapeutics’ phase 3, DCVax-L trial. CHECKMATE-214 compared a combination the immunotherapy drugs Opdivo and Yervoy to Sutent (standard of care) in previously untreated, advanced or metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC). The trial was […]

Portola: September 4 Conference Call Provides Update on Potential Launch Date for Bevyxxa and Announces Price (PTLA, Buy, $57.29)

Investment Overview Following approval of Bevyxxa, Portola stated that it expected to launch in the US in the September to November time frame. Subsequently, the Company alerted investors to a manufacturing issue that could delay the launch. During yesterday’s conference call, the Company said that it hopes to be able to launch in November, but […]

Northwest Biotehrpeutics: How Does DCVax-L Clinical Data Compare to the CAR-T Therapy Axi-Cel? (NWBO, $0.18, Buy)

New Seeking Alpha Article on Seeking Alpha An article on Seeking Alpha called Northwest Biotherapeutics: Statistically Satisfying was just published by an author who uses the pseudonym Bohsie. He looks at the unblinded data from the phase 3 trial of DCVax-L and hypothesizes that the data seems highly supportive of the hope that the phase […]

Antares Pharma: This Small, Emerging Biotechnology Company Is Poised for Explosive Growth Based on Five Major New Product Introductions by 2020 (ATRS, Buy, $3.02

Investment Thesis Antares is one of my top recommendations based on its extremely impressive pipeline prospects. In a March 23, 2017 report Antares: Pipeline is Bursting with Late Stage Products (ATRS, $2.77, Buy)  I did an in-depth analysis that goes over my assumptions and resultant projections in great detail for the five partnered products and two […]

Alimera Sciences: Company Achieves Breakeven Pretax Cash Flow in 2Q, 2017 Despite Slow Unit Demand for Iluvien (ALIM, Buy, $1.50)

Investment Perspective Alimera’s second quarter results threw investors (and me) a sweeping curve ball. I initiated coverage on May 31, 2013 but never recommended purchase, until I upgraded my opinion to a Buy on June 21, 2017. See Alimera Sciences: Iluvien Sales Seem to Have Caught Traction; It Is Time to Buy! (ALIM, Buy, $1.35) […]

Cryoport: As Its Clients Transition from Clinical Development to Commercial, Growth Could Be Explosive (CYRX, $6.89, Buy)

Investment Perspective Cryoport is in the very early stages of corporate development and has only minimal sales ($9.8 million on a trailing twelve months basis). It is still too small to catch the eyes of large investors. Also, it is not well understood as it has a very unique business model that requires both a […]

Portola Pharmaceuticals: AndexXa BLA Resubmitted; Reiterating Buy (PTLA, $61.41, Buy)

Investment Thesis Portola issued a press release on August 3, 2017 that reported it had just resubmitted the BLA for AndexXa, which is in line with prior management guidance. I anticipate a six month review and US approval in 1Q, 2018. If so, it will represent the second approval of a potential blockbuster for Portola […]

Cytokinetics: Reiteration of My Long Standing Buy Recommendation Based on an Extraordinary Pipeline (CYTK, $12.90, Buy)

Investment Overview and Thesis Investment Overview Cytokinetics reported 2Q, 2017 sales and earnings results on Wednesday, August 2 but this was relatively unimportant. The stock price is driven by investors’ assessments on clinical progress of three late stage pipeline products: omecamtiv mecarbil (for congestive heart failure) and tirasemtiv (for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis or ALS) are […]