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Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Tag archive for ‘NovaBay’

San Francisco Trip Is the Basis for a Preview of 2014 (Subscribers Only)

What SmithOnStocks Is All About It is traditional at the start of the year to go over stock picks for the coming year. It also is the time of the annual biotech “love in” in San Francisco, which I recently attended and that attracts some 30,000 biotech executives, analysts, venture capitalists and investors. I estimate […]

NovaBay: Data from Phase II Trial of Auriclosene in Urinary Catheter Blockage and Encrustation is Imminent (NBY, $1.40)

Company Overview and Purpose of the Report NovaBay (NBY) will be reporting the results of three Phase II clinical trials involving its first in class “non-antibiotic”, anti-microbial agent auriclosene (NVC-422) over the next three quarters. The mechanism of action and previously conducted phase I and II trials indicate that it has broad spectrum activity against […]

Thoughts on the Growing Crisis of Bacterial Resistance to Antibiotics

Investment Overview We hear constantly from the media about problems with bacterial resistance to antibiotics. I think that this is an indication that we have reached the point at which society will collectively decide to declare a war on resistant bacteria that could provide the same impetus to the development of anti-microbial drugs that the […]

NovaBay: Topline Data from Two Phase IIb Trials Presents an Asymmetric Investment Opportunity in 2013 (NBY, $1.24)

Introduction NovaBay (NBY) is focused on the development of novel anti-microbial products that are topically applied as gels, liquid solutions and instillates. By replicating the mechanism of action used by the body’s innate immune system, NovaBay has created products that hold the potential to treat bacteria and microbes resistant to currently used drugs and as […]

NovaBay Swings for the Fences with NVC-422 Trial In Viral Conjunctivitis

Investment Thesis Although NovaBay is a small company as judged by its $43 million market capitalization, it is complex to analyze. It is developing one molecule, NVC-422, for three separate indications, impetigo, viral conjunctivitis and urinary encrustation and blockage. While the molecule is the same, the disease states are quite different as is the formulation: […]

Focusing on the Impetigo Indication for NVC-422 (NBY, $1.29)

Investment Thesis Although NovaBay(NBY) is a small company as judged by its $37 million market capitalization, it is complex to analyze. It is developing one molecule, NVC-422, for three separate indications, impetigo, viral conjunctivitis and urinary catheter encrustation and blockage. While the molecule is the same, the disease states are quite different as is the […]

Initiation of Coverage on NovaBay with a Buy

Introduction I have just written a new report on NovaBay (NBY) called NovaBay’s Robust Clinical Pipeline Approaches Critical Clinical Trial Results in 2013. This blog is a summary of that more in-depth report. For readers who want to understand the reasoning behind the conclusions I present here, I would suggest that you refer to that […]

NovaBay’s Robust Clinical Pipeline Approaches Critical Clinical Trial Results in 2013

Investment Thesis NovaBay has just received approval in the US for its first product NeutroPhase and will be commercializing it throughout the world using regional partnerships. It has a much more important second product, NVC-422, which is being developed for three distinct disease indications: as a dermal gel for the skin disease impetigo, an eye […]