Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Acronyms Used in this Report SOC: The standard of care in newly diagnosed glioblastoma patients is surgical resection followed by treatment with radiation and the chemotherapy drug temozolomide PFS: Progression free survival is the time from which the surgery is performed until the tumor begins to regrow mPFS: The median time at which half of […]

Two Recent Cancer Vaccine Trial Failures Spurred this Report On February 22, 2017, Argos reported that the Data Monitoring Committee for the phase 3 ADAPT trial of its cancer vaccine AGS-003 in combination with Sutent in metastatic renal cell carcinoma recommended that the trial should be discontinued. Following an interim analysis, the DMC concluded that […]

Substance of 8-K Regulatory Document Northwest issued an 8-K today in response to shareholders’ questions about an issue that has been raised due to some postings on message boards. Negative blogs have contended that NWBO has included the clinical data from 32 pseudo-progressors in the clinical data base of 331 patients enrolled in the phase […]

Key Points: Lifting of the partial hold removes a cloud that has been overhanging the Company for the past 18 months. We may see topline data on the phase 3 trial by mid-summer or possibly in a late breaker paper at ASCO in May. Linda Liau, principal investigator on the phase 3 trial, is encouraged […]

Principal Takeaway Messages  from This Report Dr. Linda Liau believes that use of DCVax-L can result in 25% of glioblastoma patients living four years or longer. This therapeutic effect is comparable to that seen with the checkpoint inhibitors Opdivo and Keytruda in certain refractory solid tumors and in her opinion should result in approval. She […]

NWBO is preparing for the start of a phase 2 trial combining DCVax-L with Merck’s Keytruda in late stage colorectal cancer with liver metastases. This note is just my first impression of the announcement and I need to do much more work on the design of the trial and timelines, but I wanted to give my initial […]

Key Points: Data for DCVax Direct recently was updated for its phase 1/2 trial in 40 patients having 13 different types of inoperable solid tumors. A scientific paper showed that the top 12 patients (30%) experienced overall survival of 22 months or longer. This was an open label trial without a control group as is […]

Investment Thesis I have been pretty much silent on Northwest Biotherapeutics for some time. The reason is that as an analyst I can only interpret data and news flow and there has been nothing to interpret. The stock is selling at $0.34 down 95% from one year ago. The downward move is extreme but significant […]

Overview The naming of five distinguished scientists with extensive knowledge and expertise in immune-oncology to Northwest’s scientific advisory board is the first of what I hope will be a number of steps that Northwest will take to fight back against a massive short selling attack on the Company. This has destroyed the stock price and […]

Report Overview I usually start my reports with a summary and investment thesis. However, in this report I am putting this section at the end of the report. Northwest issued a press release on May 3 that gave an important operational update on the Company. The press release makes six distinct comments and in this report […]