Expert Financial Analysis and Reporting

Overview Subsequent to my posting of my recent update on Antares, I have seen that Teva has made an offer to buy Mylan; Mylan, of course, markets EpiPen. My first reaction to this news was alarm suggesting that Teva would abandon the AB rated product and focus on the branded product. However, this is highly […]

Investment Thesis I continue with my long standing recommendation on Antares. Last year was a disappointing year for the stock, but the basic reasons for my positive view of the Company remain largely intact. I discussed this is detail in my report of November 23, 2004 called Antares: 2015 Could Be the Breakout Year for […]

Investment Overview Antares has hit a somewhat dis-settling stretch as Otrexup prescriptions have recently flattened and the FDA recommended that additional patients be enrolled in the safety evaluation of the QST phase 3 trial. I see these as typical of issues that always arise with biopharma companies and can be reasonably resolved. I remain confident […]

Antares sent out a press release today about a new development in the Quick Shot Testosterone phase 3 program. The Company said that based on a single reported occurrence of hives in the completed phase 2 study, which the FDA characterized as an apparent allergic reaction. The agency  is recommending that the Company create a larger […]

Purpose of the Blog I very much appreciate questions and feedback from subscribers to my website. I have had two recent questions that I have responded to that may be of interest to other investors interested in the  Teva collaboration with Antares to develop an AB rated generic equivalent to Mylan’s EpiPen. For more details […]

Overview I tuned in to the Antares presentation at the Piper Jaffrey conference on December 2, 2014 to listen to what the new CEO Eamonn Hobbs emphasized to investors in a short 15 minute presentation. He spent a lot of the time talking about Quick Shot Testosterone (QST), the new once a week subcutaneous injectable […]

I project 2015 sales of Otrexup at $22 million; if so, it would be generating profit in the latter half of 2015. Antares seems confident that Teva’s generic to EpiPen will be approved in June 2015 and AB rated. On an annualized basis, I see this this generic contributing $25 million pretax by 4Q, 2015. […]

The FDA does not appear to be concerned about cardiovascular risk with testosterone replacement products so this is a major positive. The FDA is asking the panel to consider if these products are used too much in unapproved indications. The testosterone replacement market has shrunk significantly in 2014 due to the cardiovascular safety issue. There […]

Investment Thesis Antares (ATRS) common has been hit with a storm of concerns that has caused the stock to decline from about $4.50 in March of this year to a low of $1.94 in August. This note addresses these issues and how they affect my investment thinking. In almost every investment situation I have been […]

Investors Are Concerned About Rasuvo’s Impact on Otrexup Investors have been concerned about the potential effect on Otrexup if the private company Medac gains approval for Rasuvo. Both products are device drug combinations that use highly engineered and proprietary auto injectors to administer methotrexate as a sub-cutaneous injection. These products were both developed under the […]